Sunday,
October 8, 2006
Vol. III No. 20 |
Welcome
to the
Over the
Airwaves
aviation journal. This complimentary bi-weekly e-mailing
is being sent to pilots and aviation enthusiasts around the
world. Its aim
is to promote
flight safety, encourage students and new pilots, and to build
enthusiasm for aviation in general.
Dear Pilots and Aviation Enthusiasts:
Any way you look at the data, weather represents one of the most significant risks to general aviation pilots. In fact, based upon 2004 data, if you are involved in a weather-related accident in a single engine, fixed gear aircraft, there is a 91.3 percent chance you will not survive. If you happen to be flying a single engine, retractable gear, the odds of dying are 100 percent! (Source: 2005 ASF Nall Report) So what's going on here? Is it because light aircraft are no match for nature's common meteorological events? Do the basic principles of flight change when we fly through clouds? The answer is NO to both questions. The problem is not the airplane. Instead, it is the pilot. In over 90 percent of the single engine, fixed gear cases, the fatal weather event was continued VFR flight into IFR conditions. For single engine, retract pilots, the VFR into IFR rate drops to 56 percent. The other 39 percent is due to thunderstorms. The remainder of weather accidents, for both groups of pilots, are icing events. Weather is the problem, what's the solution? The flight school solution:
It is difficult to refute this sage advice. Actually, the safest thing to do is to dive into the simulator or wait for CAVU (clear and visibility unlimited) conditions with no winds before stepping into the airplane. Safe? Yes. Practical? Of course not. This traditional flight school solution is not only impractical, it is also dangerous. Why is it dangerous? It is dangerous because it fails to prepare students for the reality of cross-country flight where weather changes, often unpredictably. It fails to equip pilots with the ability to recognize, from aloft, the subtle weather changes that signal changes to come. It fails to provide pilots with "backdoor analysis" skills. This is like lulling people into a crowded theater without posting escape route signs. Lastly, it robs the pilot of the opportunity to hone his aeronautical decision making (ADM) and risk management skills. For example, if he has never viewed declining weather with an experienced CFII at his side, he has little or no basis from which to make go/no-go decisions while on the ground. Disagree? Look at the GA accident data. It is appalling! The correct solution: The correct solution is to become a weather savvy pilot. Begin by engaging the services of an experienced CFII, either from the beginning as a primary pilot, or as an experienced VFR pilot. Take every opportunity to train in or around the weather conditions that can kill if you do not know what you are doing.
Observe from aloft the development of towering cumulous clouds. Become familiar with how they rise into the atmosphere, then begin to take on an anvil shape. Learn to judge their distance from your airplane. Find opportunities to use on-board weather avoidance equipment including live radar and spherics, e.g., stormscope. Engage in dialogs with ATC to compare what they are painting with what you see out the window. Again, have an experienced CFII aboard as you do this. If you are fortunate enough to have access to a known ice certified airplane and a winter-savvy CFII, climb through sub-freezing clouds and watch how quickly the airspeed diminishes with a just a light load of airframe ice! Be sure to learn where your back doors are . . . and what it takes to get there. Fly into diminishing visibility with a CFII by your side. Witness how surreptitiously thickening haze or fog robs you of outside references. Feel the cold sweat on your brow as you lose sight of the ground or horizon. Experience the difficulty of keeping your wings level solely by reference to the gauges.
Rather than fearing unpredicted cross-winds at your destination airport's only runway, learn the skills necessary to safely put your airplane down in a 25 knot direct crosswind! Get that instrument rating and/or get instrument current! Whether or not you plan to
deliberately operate in IFR conditions, undergoing
quality instrument training will help you to become
a weather savvy pilot. It will
The operative word here is "quality." Do not be suckered into a "fair weather" instrument course where you fly only in VFR conditions under the hood. Flight simulators are okay to teach instrument procedures, but don't let them become a substitute for real world, IFR training. You need to get into actual weather where real, not simulated, decisions are made. Yes, the "fair weather" course gives you the instrument rating, but it does not afford you the skills to remain upright in the clag when the going gets tough. In fact, it is such "fair weather" instrument ratings that are singularly responsible for far too many weather related fatal accidents. If you are already instrument rated but are not quite current, get with an experienced CFII and go out and fly in the stuff . . . the real stuff. Your instrument skills will come back, but it requires constant practice. Yes, this is tough talk. But weather related accidents kill 90 to 100 percent of the time. Remember, contrary to the phrase made famous by United Airlines, the skies are not always friendly!
Such was the case early last month when a non-instrument rated pilot, who had received his private pilot certificate less than three months earlier, elected to launch in poor weather conditions from the Smith Mountain Lake Airport (W91) in Virginia. His planned destination was Florence Regional Airport (FLO), Florence, South Carolina. He had a passenger with him. Here is what he was facing weather-wise The first indication that weather might be a problem was AIRMET Sierra. It was issued just 1.5 hours prior to his departure. It warned of occasional ceilings below 1,000 feet and visibilities below 3 statute miles due to clouds, precipitation, mist, and fog. An AIRMET for mountain obscuration was also issued at the same time. There was no weather
reporting at his departure airport. Here is what was being
reported at two nearby airports?
This inexperienced pilot was looking directly into the face of AIRMET Sierra covering his route of flight plus currently reported IFR conditions at his two nearest airports. A preliminary review of flight service station data revealed that the pilot did not contact any flight service stations or the Direct User Access Terminal System (DUATS) to obtain a weather briefing. Nor did he file a flight plan prior to departure. Did this pilot have any cause for concern? How would you rate his ADM skills? Good, fair, poor? Air Traffic Control to the rescue . . . According to the NTSB Report, the airplane tracked generally southbound, until about 1130, when the pilot asked the controller for a radar vector. When queried about the request, the pilot responded, "We're kinda lost in some fog here." The controller then asked the pilot to state his present heading, to which the pilot replied, "I can't tell, I think we're upside-down." The controller instructed the pilot to turn right, and 18 seconds later advised the pilot to stop his turn. During this time, the airplane had completed a left turn to a northeasterly track, and its altitude varied between 4,500 feet and 4,700 feet. About 10 seconds later, at 1132, the pilot stated, "We
can't see, we can't see, we can't see," and ten seconds
later transmitted something unintelligible. The controller
advised the pilot to stay calm, that he was at an altitude of
4,500 feet, and that he should not climb or descend the
airplane. No further transmissions were received from the
pilot, and radar contact was lost shortly thereafter.
The Classic Spiral
The only aerodynamic flight condition that would produce such speeds in a Cessna 150 would be a spiral dive. A spiral begins with a simple bank and a resultant loss of altitude. As the airplane descends, it gains airspeed. This airspeed gain, in turn, causes the nose to pitch up in a flight attitude 90 degrees to the bank angle of the wings. Since the wings are banked, this pitching up force causes the turn to tighten and the bank angle to steepen. This, in turn, causes further loss of altitude and a corresponding increase in airspeed. With the nose now pointed straight down and a fast rotation around the longitudinal access, the combined force of gravity and continued thrust of the engine produce and excessively high airspeed. Off come the wings!
Where did this guy go wrong?
The weather was bad, plain and simple. Even marginal VFR conditions is no place for a low time, VFR only pilot to be. Why this pilot ignored this fact is open to speculation. I'd place my money on poor primary flight instruction. Had this pilot had opportunity to train and fly in marginal VFR and IFR conditions with a qualified CFII by his side, he would have observed how quickly marginal conditions can change to BAD conditions. He would have witnessed, first hand, how quickly aircraft control can be lost without proper instrument training and instrument proficiency. Simply telling flight
students NOT to fly when the weather is marginal does not work.
Tragically, there is far too much of this going on in today's
flight schools.
One area that is tripping up increasing numbers of aging pilots is the urine. If we change the color of that little test strip, we're spilling sugar into our urine! It could be that we are succumbing to the same malady that strikes over 21 million Americans. That malady is Type II diabetes. The AME sends us back to our primary physician for an A1C, the definitive blood test for diabetes. If that test number comes back over 7, he may prescribe medication to help control our blood sugar. When that happens, we are about to fly directly onto the AME's radar screen! Once on that radar screen, be prepared for annual medicals and lots of paper work. Hopefully the medication works . . . Another solution The National Institutes of Health (NIH) recently released the results of major Type II diabetes clinical trial involving 3,234 people (Click HERE for more information about this study) The results study showed that a modest weight loss (5 to 7 percent of body weight) and light exercise (a 30 minute walk each day) brought a 58 percent reduction in progression to diabetes. Curiously, this weight loss and exercise regime produced the same results as similar clinical trials where medication was used to control diabetes! In other words, modest weight loss and exercise can be as effective as medication to prevent or control Type II diabetes. The choice is ours Our risk of acquiring Type II diabetes increases dramatically as we age, particularly if we tend to be even modestly overweight. Let's not wait for the AMA to detect this condition on our next medical. Instead, see your regular doctor. If he suspects that you are at risk for Type II diabetes, begin that weight control program and begin exercising. If that does the trick, you'll remain off of the AME radar screen. More importantly, you may prevent or effectively control the progression of this very serious disease.
This guy played the game and lost! Our hapless pilot in this tragic scenario took off in August, 2005 with his wife and two passengers from Delaware Airpark, Delaware enroute to Randolph, NY. Arriving in Randolph, he dropped off his two passengers and he and his wife flew on to Niagara Falls, NY, about an hour north.
Unfortunately, there were no fuel services at Randolph, so he elected to fly a short distance over to Jamestown, NY to refuel. Arriving after dark in Jamestown, he discovered that the FBO was closed. Ignoring the after-hours telephone number for fuel services, our fuel-hungry pilot set off for Erie, PA, some 40 miles to the west. By this point, he had logged over 5 hours since fueling. Not night current According to NTSB investigators, this pilot had not flown at night for over six months. Thus he was not legal to fly passengers at night per FAR 61.57. Equally perplexing, this pilot was clearly ignoring the reserve fuel requirement per FAR 91.151. Do you see an accident picture development? How many rules must one violate before the pistol cylinder with the live round gets fired? The rest of the story
The single live bullet finally found its way to the firing chamber - boom! The annals of aviation accident history are replete with tales of dead pilots skipping the steps, breaking the rules, and pushing the envelope. But before we point the judgmental finger, however, stop and think. Have YOU ever pushed that envelope? Be honest. I have and was fortunate enough NOT to have found a live bullet in the chamber. Next time, neither of us may be so fortunate.
There have been lots of tools and techniques developed over the years to help impart proper ADM skills to pilots. One that I recently developed and have spoken of in talks around the country is "The 4 Ms". The 4 "Ms" explained . . . The 4 "Ms" is a simple mnemonic that helps pilots consider the various risk factors before beginning any flight.
Some folks like to reduce poor ADM to simply "dumb pilot tricks." In truth, poor ADM has many causes. Sometimes it is ignorance, or arrogance, or the feeling of invincibility, or impatience. Something interfered with the pilot's ability to exercise sound judgment. If we pilots simply pondered these 4 "Ms" before each flight, our chances of arriving at our destination safely will be significantly enhanced!
Claiming to have resolved many of the larger safety problems through its Aviation Safety Program (ASP), the FAA's new program is designed to get at the more troubling, difficult to solve problems. The FAASTeam will use a coordinated effort to focus resources on particularly elusive accident causes. This will be accomplished by data mining/analysis, teamwork, instruction in the use of safety management systems/risk management tools and development/distribution of educational materials.This accident data-supported initiative has merit. Rather than shotgunning safety seminars randomly throughout the U.S., the FAASTeam approach targets real-time human factors that result in accidents, then translates the lessons learned into multi-media presentations to be delivered live or by satellite to wherever they are needed. The big question
remains . . . will this program reach the wayward,
non-proficient GA pilots we seldom see at our safety meetings?
Or are we still preaching to the choir? For more information,
click
HERE.
Sound like a pipe dream? Not really. The science of meteorology has advanced to levels that make it possible to reliably predict the kind of weather that posses excessive risk to small airplanes. The key, however, is our ability to properly interpret what the meteorologists are telling us. Translating weather depictions Most of us recall the difficulty we had deciphering those crude weather charts we had to know for both the private and instrument knowledge tests. Unfortunately, many of those same charts continue to appear in these tests . . . despite the fact that the US Weather Service has moved into the 21st century. One of the difficulties we had was translating these obtuse weather depictions into a real world understanding of what was actually going on outside. Looking below, for example, we see a typical weather depiction chart showing converging cold and warm fronts.
Below is a graphic illustration of the same weather system in bright colors.
Below is a photograph of the same system as it appears to the airborne pilot.
The above photo is facing north. Imagine yourself entering the photo from the east, over Columbus, OH. You are flying westward. Your destination is Indianapolis. You are descending into the clouds. The OAT (outside air temperature) is +6d C. So far, so good. As you descend through the depicted air mass boundary, you notice the OAT dropping quickly. The rain beating on your wings suddenly turns into freezing rain! Your windscreen turns opaque. Your airspeed and altimeter each begin to unwind in heart-stopping fashion. Seconds earlier you were in warm IFR and now you are in the throws of a full-blown emergency! You give ATC the "E" word as you apply power to get back up into the warmer air. Nothing! Your airplane is coated with two inches of clear ice. It is unable to maintain altitude; the control forces are mushy; your hands are sweaty and your stomach is in knots. You issue another panicky call to ATC. Choices . . . better make the correct one. You have two choices. Struggle to climb back up into warmer air and risk stalling. Or, you can push the nose downward to build airspeed and "hope" to get below the freezing rain conditions. As for me, I'd pick the latter choice. The best choice, however, would have been to evaluate this weather system before departing in the first place. The first weather depiction, above, should have sent warning flags up all over the place! Converging cold and warm fronts are nearly always the aviation equivalent to the Bermuda Triangle. You can expect the worst that Mother Nature has to offer. The message here is simple. Become a student of meteorology. Endeavor to understand each day's weather depiction published in the newspaper or displayed on the Weather Channel. You will begin to recognize areas of hazardous weather. More importantly, you'll begin to interpret the kinds of challenges you can expect if you elect to penetrate that weather. Go to the Pre-Flight Planning link at the banner section at the top of each OTA issue. Click on this link and open each weather product you see. Attempt to relate what you see in each product to what you see in the world around you.
According to the NTSB report, the pilot reported to Denver (DEN) Air Route Traffic Control Center (ARTCC) that his airplane was encountering icing conditions. The pilot requested several altitude changes. He was assigned an altitude of 11,000 feet and was asked if he could maintain terrain and obstacle separation. The pilot acknowledged in the affirmative.
Shortly thereafter, radar and voice communications with the
flight were lost. An Alert Notification (ALNOT) was issued
and search and rescue operations were initiated. Icing season is upon us . . . Despite the fact that surface temperatures remain seasonably comfortable, the air aloft is getting cold . . . and this means the threat of icing is again upon us. It also means that anybody operating in sub-freezing clouds better have an iron-clad, instantly accessible "backdoor" should the stuff begin to stick to the wings. The operative phrase in the previous sentence is "instantly accessible." Unless the aircraft is equipped with TKS, inflatable boots, or some other form of effective anti-icing or de-icing gear, an instant retreat from icing encounters is essential. Do I wait for ATC approval before changing altitudes? Fortunately, ATC is very responsive to pilot reports of icing. In most cases, they will permit you to maneuver as required to escape icing conditions. What if, however, you are unable to reach ATC? Do you make your move without a clearance and subject yourself to a violation of FAR 91.123?
Yep, airframe icing, particularly in a thin wing aircraft like the Cirrus or Columbia, constitutes a genuine emergency. Don't be proud. Go where you need to go under your emergency authority. The important thing is to act immediately! I spend a good deal of my wintertime flying in icing conditions in and around the Great Lakes. My airplane is certified for flight into known icing conditions. It has inflatable boots, a heated propeller, super-heated Pitot tube, a heated stall warning sensor, and a hot windshield. Does all of this enable me to continue flying through icing conditions? Absolutely not! Whenever encountering icing conditions, I cycle the boots as necessary and then take whatever steps are necessary to escape icing conditions. ATC has always been immediately responsive, but should I ever need to change altitudes or make a bolt for VFR conditions due to icing and I cannot reach ATC or obtain a clearance, I'll exercise my emergency authority.
Curiously, if you read enough witness statements contained in the daily reading of NTSB accident reports, you'll come to the conclusion that relatively few airplane crashes occur in a wings level flight attitude. Instead, the pilot managed to get the airplane over into a steep bank, spiral, or even inverted before hitting the ground.
Banking does strange but predictable things to airplanes The chart to the left illustrates two bad things that begin to happen anytime we roll our airplanes into more than 20 degrees of bank. First, our stall speed begins to increase. Instead of those wings level stalls we experienced in the practice area, we discover that our airplane will stall at 80 knots or more whenever we're banked over 60 percent. Next, and more insidious, our load factor or "G" force begins to increase dramatically after rolling 60 degrees. This means that any error in our weight and balance computation can have disastrous effects whenever we're in a steep bank.
Do you think the wings will remain attached with this load? Are you willing to bet the farm on this? Getting the most out of practicing steep turns Most student pilots are taught to perform steep turns within the limits specified in the Practical Test Standards (PTS). They are seldom shown the effect of this bank angle on stall speeds. Next time you are practicing steep turns, try reducing the power to idle, while maintaining altitude and your 45 degree bank angle. You might be surprised by what happens! Be sure, of course, that you have an experienced CFI with you.
Understanding the intricacies of the vacuum system is key to remaining upright in the clouds. Despite this fact, many pilots fly into the scud without even glancing at the vacuum pressure gauge. Things seem right at first, then the heading indicator stops turning and the blue side of the attitude indicator slowly changes places with the black or brown side. When this occurs inside the clouds, the pilot had better be proficient in partial panel flight. If not, he likely dies. What happened? What happened is that little $600 vacuum pump gave up the ghost . . . with no warning. It simply self-destructed, likely from excessive heat and relentless spinning. As it came to a stop, the fast moving air in the vacuum lines, needed to spin the gyros inside the heading indicator and the attitude indicator, stopped as well.
How do we prevent this from occurring? The best defense against a loss of vacuum pressure is to have a second or back-up source of vacuum pressure. One way is to have a second vacuum pump operating in the system. Another is to have a mechanism to draw vacuum pressure from the engine's intake manifold.
The attitude indicator Pictured left is an attitude indicator. Looking carefully inside the instrument housing, you will see a gyroscope. Vacuum pressure draws fast moving air along side the cupped edges of this gyroscope causing it to spin. This spinning gyroscope remains rigid in space, regardless of the pitch or bank attitude of the airplane. Note the horizon reference arm attached to the gyroscope. This reference arm, with its attached blue and black card representing the sky and ground respectively, remains upright relative to the actual horizon as the airplane climbs, descends, and banks.
The heading indicator The heading indicator operates on the same principle. An internal gyroscope, spun by a fast flow of air produced by the vacuum pump, remains rigid in space as the aircraft turns around its vertical axis. While the vacuum system typically includes a vacuum pressure gauge and sometimes a low vacuum warning light, the heading indicator and attitude indicators have no warning flags to alert the pilot when these instruments, themselves, fail. Instead, they simply stop operating, leaving the pilot to figure out what went wrong. Before going into the clouds Before entering the clouds, the proficient pilots ALWAYS checks two items. The first is OAT (outside temperature). If the OAT is below 40d F., the pilots turns on the pitot heat. The pilot also checks the vacuum pressure gauge.
So far, so good. Problems emerge later in the night when the air temperature dips below freezing. Those harmless drops of water turn into frozen crystals or frost. When this happens, a definite flight safety hazard results. Frost disrupts the flow of air over the wing and can drastically reduce the production of lift. It also increases drag, which, when combined with lowered lift production, can eliminate the ability to take off. It doesn't take much frost to destroy lift
Many pilots over the years have met their fate by launching with frost on their wings. Comforted by the fact that they could fly in ground effect, what happened after leaving ground effect was tragic
What the FARs have to say about frost . . .
Solution. . .
Any number of frost-removing solutions work. They include putting the airplane in a heated hangar for a couple of minutes. The frost will dissolve quickly. Be sure to dry the wings thoroughly before taxiing and/or taking-off into sub-freezing temperatures. A wet towel can also be used to wipe off light frost from the wing surfaces. Some pilots keep a spray can filled with de-icing solution handy to remove frost. A word of caution . . . Warm hangars are great ways to prevent or to remove wing frost. Remember, however, wet wings will instantly re-freeze as soon as the airplane is brought back out into sub-freezing air. Be sure to dry them thoroughly! Another problem occurs to airplanes brought out from warm hangars when snow is falling. For the first few minutes, their warm skin will cause the falling snow to melt into small puddles of water on the wings. These puddles then re-freeze which, in turn, can destroy lift! Do you REALLY know the facts about wing contamination? Try taking this AOPA QUIZ.
The reason is simple. We have reached a point with improved aircraft mechanical reliability and 21st century weather forecasting accuracy where even one fatal GA accident is one too many. One . . . heck, we have over 300 fatal GA accidents year after year. Yes, zero tolerance for GA fatal accidents IS a reasonable goal. AOPA's own Air Safety Foundation reports that 80 percent of all fatal accidents are due to pilot factors (errors). The GA fatal accident rate continues to run 100 times greater than the airlines. Put these two sad facts together and we have a very serious problem that we can no longer afford to soft-peddle or ignore. Don't think we're in trouble? We have fewer licensed pilots in the U.S. today than in any year since 1979. The same frightful truth applies to student pilots! Keep in mind that our total U.S. population has increased 30% during the same period. Look around at your local EAA meeting, safety seminar, or AirVenture or Sun 'n Fun flight line. You mostly see gray haired, middle-aged white guys. Where are the young pilots? Pretty sad! High Stakes Poker Each time some pilot exercises poor aeronautical decision making, he is playing a game of high stakes poker where the losses are permanent. There's no friend to bail him or her out. There are no unforgiven debts. Make a mistake in this business and people die. Beyond the personal level, much of the GA establishment seems to miss the fact that each fatal GA crash poisons public attitudes regarding flight in small airplanes for hundreds of miles around for months. Let a celebrity or public figure die in a general aviation crash, another nail gets banged into our coffin.
Any responsible member of the traditional GA community who sits back and makes excuses for such human loss violates every ethical standard of a civilized society. This includes the flight training industry who knowingly fails to prepare primary pilots for the simple weather challenges that lead to loss of control. It also includes our federal rule makers who fail to acknowledge the growing sophistication of the national airspace system and the complexity of aircraft that operate within it. Most of all, it includes those powerful GA organizations who refuse to subordinate their membership and/or customer interests to promoting safety changes in our industry. Brushing off the vast differences between the general aviation fatal accident rate and that of the the airlines is an exercise in mass deception. Not only is this bad form, it is hurting our industry. Bury the Hatchet!
Nobody cherishes the thought of opening up FAR Parts 61 and 91 and the Practical Test Standards (PTS) for re-evaluation. Contrary to what our friends at AOPA and its Air Safety Foundation have to say, however, our pro-active pilot education programs, per the past seven year NTSB reported accident data, are not doing the trick. As a minimum, we must re-exam the initial qualification and recurrent training requirements of flight instructors. Lastly, while none of us welcome added flying expenses, we must review the safety efficacy of an every two year flight review along with the several ways to satisfy this requirement. This re-looking effort should be a collaborative process between the major stake-holders in the GA community. It's time we get our collective GA heads out of the sand. When reasonable people talk!
Marion, Paul, Phil, Bruce, John, Jack and their colleagues and respective staffs know what needs to be done. Ultimately, when these folks begin to place flight safety interests above their individual constituency interests, we will then begin to see dramatic reductions in our chronic GA fatal accident rate. Remember, GA establishment power is derived from us dues paying, voting GA pilots. If we do not see measurable progress in this effort, we have other avenues to direct our support. Send this message to those big GA organizations to which you belong. Sure, on the short run, we may see some adverse hits on our bottom lines. In the longer term, however, the entire industry will be better served.
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Over the Airwaves
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official news, or club-type social journal.
Instead, its intent is to stimulate thought,
enhance aviation critical thinking skills, to
encourage the strong pilot, and to disturb the
weaker pilot. With this breadth of scope,
Over the Airwaves will evoke a number of
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